Monday 3 October 2016

Immigration is good for Australia

There have been calls for immigration to be halted, especially by the crazy right in Australia. However the consequences of halting migration would be dire, leaving Australians worse off.

The Age has written a piece describing the effect of halting migration. They point out that growth would slow, the workforce would age faster leading to a demographic imbalance and the government would face larger structural budget deficits. There are several other unpleasant consequences listed.

The article does miss one important point. Most Australian immigration is skilled migration. The immigrants go straight into the workforce without the need for expensive training and fill gaps that the economy would take years (decades) to fill itself. The result is that the supply-side of the economy is expanded (Long-run aggregate supply shifts to the right) and there is faster non-inflationary growth making everyone better off.

The unfortunate politics of immigration must be put to one side and the economic analysis of immigration considered more carefully to achieve a sensible solution. It is impossible to see a situation where Australia will not need at least 100,000 immigrants a year to avoid stagnating growth and an impossible pressure on the working population as the overall population ages.


This article is directly relevant to VCE Unit 4 on Supply Side policy and to IB Macroeconomics (Paper 1). The impact of demographic changes is something that could easily put into an IB Internal Assessment piece using AD/AS analysis.


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